Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.475586 0.526773 0.581889 0.645767 0.717909 0.797028 0.890595
2025-06-08 0.389226 0.458880 0.539499 0.640209 0.763345 0.909887 1.098801
2025-06-15 0.344802 0.423634 0.519378 0.645227 0.807777 1.012670 1.293690
2025-06-22 0.306542 0.388972 0.492949 0.635275 0.827422 1.081280 1.447849
2025-06-29 0.278048 0.362589 0.472726 0.628837 0.847863 1.149455 1.605409
2025-07-06 0.247751 0.330441 0.441083 0.602550 0.836562 1.170341 1.695317
2025-07-13 0.233530 0.318465 0.435155 0.610469 0.872979 1.261036 1.896659
2025-07-20 0.220953 0.307470 0.429239 0.617152 0.907189 1.350549 2.105229
2025-07-27 0.209858 0.297533 0.423725 0.623394 0.940485 1.440848 2.324512
2025-08-03 0.199158 0.287244 0.416671 0.626261 0.968086 1.523856 2.540347
2025-08-10 0.190405 0.279138 0.412112 0.632299 1.000777 1.617613 2.785353
2025-08-17 0.177972 0.264532 0.396430 0.619018 0.999827 1.653544 2.928777
2025-08-24 0.171421 0.258785 0.394446 0.628377 1.038827 1.764148 3.229253
2025-08-31 0.162365 0.248502 0.384511 0.623595 1.052684 1.831044 3.453985
2025-09-07 0.156067 0.242192 0.380501 0.628424 1.083791 1.932361 3.760982
2025-09-14 0.147537 0.231689 0.368805 0.618773 1.087214 1.980939 3.963627
2025-09-21 0.140329 0.222937 0.359467 0.612528 1.096277 2.041053 4.198891
2025-09-28 0.130328 0.208936 0.340312 0.587026 1.066110 2.019359 4.247918
2025-10-05 0.126650 0.205486 0.339202 0.594709 1.101384 2.135038 4.628968
2025-10-12 0.123012 0.201883 0.337563 0.601193 1.134695 2.249886 5.025145
2025-10-19 0.119534 0.198351 0.335804 0.607249 1.167544 2.367041 5.444939
2025-10-26 0.115785 0.194128 0.332519 0.610030 1.193695 2.471996 5.850105
2025-11-02 0.112693 0.190911 0.330870 0.615886 1.226830 2.596248 6.326146